According to the Presidential Advisor on Health, Dr Anthony Nsiah Asare, a model generated by the ministry of health for coronavirus infections has projected that some 15,000 could be killed by the deadly virus. According to him, the model follows the lifting of the lockdown directive on some parts of the country on Monday, April 20, 2020.
He said that this projection is also based on a baseline projection that 10% of Ghanaians are likely to test positive for the virus before infections reach its peak. Making the revelation on Joy News’ current affairs programme PM Express on Tuesday evening, the former director of the Ghana Health Service (GHS) said out of the 10% projected infections, majority of the cases are likely to be asymptomatic. That is, patients will show no symptoms at all.
“We expect that about 10% of the population may be infected and out of the 10% of the population 80% may not show signs or symptoms at all and 5% of them will be very ill, that is the projection,” he said. Out of this 5% of persons projected to be critically ill, 10% may die, the Presidential Advisor said.
Dr Nsiah-Asare, however, said this modelling may not apply strictly to Ghana because of the observed dynamics of infected cases across the country. “If you look at the cases that we are seeing, the cases that are getting critical are very, very small…it means, we have a situation where this hypothesis may be the case in Ghana,” he clarified on PM Express.
Ghana’s total confirmed coronavirus caseload currently stands at 1,042, President Nana Akufo-Addo announced on Sunday, April 19, 2020. Out of this number, only nine people have died from the COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus.